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07/25/2010 - Miami, FL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Wes Helms hit a run-scoring single in the bottom of the 11th inning, as the Florida Marlins edged the Atlanta Braves, 5-4, in the rubber match of a three-game series at Sun Life Stadium.
Helms ended with two hits, three RBI, and a run scored for the Marlins, who went 7-3 on a 10-game homestand.
Chris Volstad, who was recalled from Triple-A New Orleans prior to the game, lasted six frames in the start, allowing three runs on five hits. Jorge Sosa (2-2) pitched a scoreless two innings of relief to record the win.
Eric Hinske hit a solo homer for the Braves, who got an RBI apiece from Melky Cabrera, Chipper Jones, and Brian McCann. Jair Jurrjens gave up four runs on six hits in a seven-inning start.
Jesse Chavez (2-2) started on the mound for the Braves in the bottom of the 11th. Hanley Ramirez and Dan Uggla singled before Cody Ross was intentionally walked to load the bases. Helms followed with the game-winning hit to left.
Trailing 4-3, the Braves put a run on the board in the eighth to tie the game. Clay Hensley, who recorded the final two outs in the seventh, stayed on to pitch for Florida. Cabrera hit a two-out double to right and came around to score on pinch-hitter Jones' two-bagger to center.
The Braves drew first blood with a run in the first. Jason Heyward walked and Hinske singled with one out. McCann followed with an RBI single. Troy Glaus then walked to load the bases, but Volstad retired the next two batters to keep it a 1-0 game.
Hinske homered to right in the third to give Atlanta a 2-0 lead.
Florida went ahead with a four-run fourth. With one out, Ramirez singled and Uggla walked. Ross then hit an RBI single before Helms knocked in two runs with a triple. Mike Stanton was intentionally walked to put men on the corners for Brad Davis, whose run-scoring base hit made it 4-2.
Volstad retired 10 straight batters before giving up a one-out double to Glaus in the sixth. Alex Gonzalez was hit by a pitch and Brooks Conrad walked to load the bases. Cabrera followed with a sacrifice fly to make it 4-3. Jurrjens flied out to end the frame.
The Braves wasted a golden opportunity to score in the seventh. Jose Veras loaded the bases with one out before being replaced on the mound by Hensley. Glaus then grounded into an inning-ending double play.
Game Notes
The Braves lead the season series with the Marlins, 5-4...Atlanta pitcher Billy Wagner turned 39 on Sunday...Heyward went 2-for-5 and extended his hitting streak to nine games...Florida placed pitcher Jhan Marinez on the 15- day disabled list with a right elbow strain...Davis' two hits were the first of his career.
<< Ravens rookie Kindle suffers head injury
Owings Mills, MD (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Baltimore Ravens rookie linebacker Sergio
Kindle suffered injuries to his head after it is believed he fell down two
flights of stairs at a private residence in Austin, Texas.
The Ravens released a
<< Kubel's slam powers Twins past O's
Baltimore, MD (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Jason Kubel belted his seventh career grand
slam and Nick Punto had three hits with an RBI as Minnesota blasted Baltimore,
10-4, to conclude a four-game series.
Delmon Young and Jim Thome hit back-to-back
<< Brigman wins in Columbus
Columbus, OH (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - D.J. Brigman fired a seven-under 64 on Sunday
to come from behind and win the Children's Hospital Invitational at The Ohio
State University Scarlet Course.
Brigman finished at 10-under 274 and won by a str
<< Mets' Dickey departs start against Dodgers
Los Angeles, CA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - New York Mets pitcher R.A. Dickey left
Sunday's start against Los Angeles in the sixth inning.
Dickey landed awkwardly while delivering a pitch to Russell Martin but the
veteran right-hander recovered t
Rodriguez leaves Sunday's game >>
Bronx, NY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Alex Rodriguez left Sunday's game in the eighth
inning after being hit in the top of the left hand by a pitch.
Rodriguez, still seeking his 600th career home run, came to the plate with the
bases loaded and one o
Twins put Hudson on DL >>
Baltimore, MD (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Minnesota Twins have placed second
baseman Orlando Hudson on the 15-day disabled list with a right oblique
strain.
The move is retroactive to July 24. The Twins will recall catcher Jose Mora
Brewers sweep Nats >>
Milwaukee, WI (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Casey McGehee hit a three-run homer and
Rickie Weeks clubbed a two-run shot, as the Milwaukee Brewers completed a
three-game sweep of the Washington Nationals with an 8-3 victory at Miller
Park.
Diamondbacks deal Haren to Angels >>
Phoenix, AZ (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Arizona Diamondbacks have traded starting
pitcher Dan Haren to the Angels for starting pitcher Joe Saunders, reliever
Rafael Rodriguez, minor league pitcher Patrick Corbin and a player to be named
later.
Recently I had an email debate with an angry reader who said I did not understand "the science of oddsmaking", as he called it.
He said I was wrong for suggesting oddsmakers care about who wins or loses games.
"Oddsmakers only care about splitting the betting public 50/50 on both sides of the line and keeping the commission (a.k.a. juice)," he wrote.
He might have been right about not understanding "the science of oddsmaking". After all, I'm not an oddsmaker. That said, I stick to my assertion that oddsmakers (a.k.a. sportbooks) often do care about who wins games.
Granted, as a general rule, sportsbooks try to balance their action so that they're not exposed to big losses. However, there are times when this is difficult to pull off, regardless of how much a line has moved. There are also times when that general rule is ignored and a book pursues risk.
Generally speaking, it's safe to say the books in Vegas are risk-adverse. Unlike in the past when the wise guys ruled the town, Vegas is now corporate and the goal of most casinos is to make as much money as possible with as little risk as possible.
Thus, Vegas sportsbooks try everything in their power to balance the action. They're satisfied simply collecting the juice. But these profits are small, especially compared to the take from other casino games, namely slot machines.
Because the profits at Vegas sportsbooks are so small, you could argue that many casinos operate sportsbooks simply as a novelty to keep the tourists happy.
With a growing aversion to risk, it should come as no surprise that Vegas bookmakers have been panicking this NFL season.
Despite huge pointspreads, a disproportionate percentage of bettors are still laying their money on favorites like the Eagles, Colts, Pats and Vikings rather than the dogs (a common trend for the largely recreational bettors that visit Vegas).
And much to the dismay of the books, those favorites are finding ways to cover the thick chalk. In fact, prior to Week 7, the four teams listed above are a combined 16-2-2 (88 percent) against the spread. (The tables turned dramatically in Week 7, but more on that later.)
The result has been an early-season beating for the books, and a bonanza for bettors.
While Vegas increasingly hates risk, it's no longer a major player in the sports betting world. Most of the betting action now takes place offshore where sportsbooks are not as obsessed about balance. In fact, some books encourage exposure to risk because the rewards can be so much bigger.
Consider MySportsbook.com. On its website, the book has odds pages which actually display the amount of action it's getting on games. In other words, you can see how much action the book is taking on both sides of a pointspread, moneyline or over/under.
One look at these numbers and it's obvious MySportsbook.com does not balance every game. In fact, far from it.
Take last weekend's matchup between St. Louis and Miami. By game time on Sunday, 83 percent of the betting action at MySportsbook.com was on the Rams; only 17 percent was on Miami.
What's interesting is that MySportsbook.com opened the pointspread with Miami at +6 1/2. By game time, the spread had lowered to +5.
That goes contrary to the balancing theory. If MySportsbook.com had wanted to balance the action, it would have given Miami more points; instead, it took away 1 1/2. World Series odds are now up as well.
MySportsbook.com exposed itself to even more to risk, and rolled the dice on the underdog Dolphins. Why? I contacted a representative with the book to find out. His answer was simple.
"The line moved early based on 'smart money' from sharp players," said Jeff Gilroy, a spokesperson for the book. "We also knew from early in the week that we would need Miami, therefore (we dropped) the spread to encourage Rams money.
"At the end of the day, we liked the home team."
So the conclusion is this: MySportsbook.com respected the sharp action, and gambled that the sharp bettors had a better take on the game than the recreational bettors, who were hammering the visiting Rams.
In the end, the gamble paid off. Miami, desperate for a win in front of its home fans, pounded the overrated Rams, who are terrible on the road and even worse on grass. Final score: 31-14 Fish.
MySportsbook.com was also heavily exposed on numerous favorites in Week 7, including Philadelphia, Seattle and Denver. All three failed to cover.
The fact that sportsbooks are exposed to risk on certain games is really nothing new. The fact, that Sportsbook.com is willing to show the public where it's exposed is intriguing.
Armed with this type of information, bettors can make more educated wagers. They can get an idea where the sharp money is going and conversely where the public money is headed.
MySportsbook.com is opening up its cashbox, letting bettors look inside and challenging them to take their best shot at grabbing the cash.
To visit this online football betting got to MySportsbook.com for all your football betting odds needs. Mysportsbook.com online sportsbook accepts Visa and Mastercard credit cards.
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